根据中国银行及毕马威等权威机构的预测，2025年中国GDP增长预计将维持在5%左右，展现出极强的韧性 [1, 5]。进入2026年，作为“十五五”规划的开局之年，经济增速目标或将设定在4.5%至5.0%的区间 [6, 7, 8]。这种减速并非单纯的增长动力缺失，而是政策层面主动进行的“反内卷”干预，旨在通过整治非理性竞争和清理低效产能，修复价格信号，为具备创新溢价的微观经营主体提供健康的利润空间 [2, 5, 9]。
4. 2026年经济和行业展望| 德勤中国研究《月度经济概览》第101期 - Deloitte, www.deloitte.com/cn/zh/our-t…
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In 2017, I was at rock bottom. My dad's health was rapidly failing; my relationship with my mom was on the rocks. I was in a not-so-great place in my career. My undiagnosed polycystic ovary syndrome was wreaking havoc on my health. I was already in a dark place when a situationship broke my heart, my roommate notified me they were moving out, and I received a surprise $5,000 vet bill for my dog. Stressed, depressed, …
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